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How to bet Atlanta-Philadelphia

Philadelphia is the first No. 1 seed to be a home underdog in the divisional round. Getty Images

ESPN Chalk's NFL Vegas experts (Phil Steele, Erin Rynning, Warren Sharp and Mike Clay) are here to provide analysis and best bets for Saturday's divisional-round game between the Atlanta Falcons and Philadelphia Eagles. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information provides analysis on the best prop bets.

Note: Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Thursday morning.


Atlanta Falcons (-3) at Philadelphia Eagles

Total: 41.5
PickCenter: 65 percent pick Atlanta

Phil Steele

Four of Atlanta's six losses have been by five points or fewer, and the Falcons have won key games at Seattle and at the L.A. Rams this season. The Falcons are also the only NFC team remaining that made the playoffs last year. Philadelphia was plus-96 yards per game with Carson Wentz as the starter but is minus-101 yards per game in Nick Foles' three starts. Atlanta has taken on what I rate as the second-toughest schedule in the NFL, while the Eagles had the 24th-toughest schedule. In the last four weeks, Atlanta is the only playoff team that ranks in the top 10 in both offense and defense, while the Eagles are the only one that is in the bottom 10 in both categories.