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Where FPI sees a Week 8 college football edge vs. the spread

Sam Ehlinger and the Longhorns should put up plenty of points against Kansas. Tim Warner/Getty Images

The betting market and our Football Power Index (FPI) often agree -- but not always. Each week, we'll highlight some of the instances in which our model significantly disagrees with the spread. We're looking at not only which side FPI predicts is right but also why.

2019 ATS record: 13-20 (2-2 last week)
2019 closing line value: 20-9-4

All lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Tuesday.


Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Longhorns (-22)

7 p.m. ET Saturday

FPI prediction: Texas by 27

FPI has been horns down on Texas in 2019, so to find the model suddenly backing the team in Austin is truly stunning. The Longhorns are a little banged up after their loss in the Red River Showdown, sure, and the Jayhawks have a new offensive coordinator,